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Late Hits
Over the course of the season, Ed Walsh will be scouring the Web to bring the latest news, polls, and commentary about the Boston Red Sox to these pages.

Blog Index
November 22, 2005
Landing a big one

I have heard the news and Boston.com confirms: Hanley Ramirez and Anibal Sanchez to the Florida Marlins for Mike Lowell and Josh Beckett.

A first I was a little shocked. But after thinking about this more thoroughly, the deal makes sense.

  • The starting rotation is improved dramatically. Even with his blister woes, Beckett becomes the No. 1 starter - yes, even ahead of Curt Schilling.
  • Defense is improved at the hot corner, believe it or not. Lowell a boasting a .983 fielding percentage - better than any other third baseman in Major League Baseball.
  • The organization shows its fans that it is serious about putting a competitive team on the field.

Now some may think that we are giving up too much, but two prospects (Ramirez and Sanchez) is equal value for a 25-year-old veteran stud pitcher like Beckett. Beckett could conceivably be in Boston for quite awhile. To make it work, the Red Sox have got to sign this kid to a long-term, big-time contract. Pitchers don't usually reach their prime until they are 29, so look for the Sox to offer at least a five-year deal very soon.

Beckett also has to be tougher. In Boston, he will be placed in a spotlight that will highlight his every flaw. He'll have to find a way to cure his blisters and quickly. Last year he showed much promise in handling the issue, but still ended up missing a few starts.

Mike Lowell offensive decline raises some question marks. In 1999, Lowell burst on the scene posting 12 HR in 97 games. In 2000, he became the everyday third baseman and, at 26 years old, hit 22 HRs and 91 RBIs. In 2001, he did 18 and 100; 2002: 24 and 92; 2003: 32 and 105; 2004: 27 and 85. Then the wheels came off.

Something happened between 2004 and 2005. He played in nearly every game last year but finished with only eight home runs and 58 RBIs. His totals were in fact lower than those of Bill Mueller. He also hit a career low .236.

It seems odd that a the Red Sox would take on such a huge contract for a defensive-minded 32-year-old. But that's the price of pitching. Some speculate that Lowell will be gone before being offered a uniform, but I think most teams would shy away from his contract.

If Lowell does stay (which I believe he will) a domino effect will take place.

I've been hearing for a couple of years now how great Hanley Ramirez was going to be. I went to Sea Dogs' games to get a glimpse of his talent. Defensively he rocks; offensively he still needs some work. He seems to also lack maturity, that's expected when you are almost 22.

After all the hype, I'm disappointed but not surprised that I will not see him play professionally for the Sox. I never thought he was the greatest fit for Boston anyway.

What's to become of Bill Mueller (a true baseball player and the best No. 8 hitter in the game)? He'll most likely be gone. I'll miss his professionalism.

What will become of Kevin Youkilis? Will he move to first? Sit on the bench another year as a back-up infielder? Is he now on the block?

Can we somehow work the deal to include Carlos Delgado?

So who needs a GM? Provided Beckett becomes long-term Bostonian this deal will go down as one of the best in the history of the franchise. While not quite on the same level as Heathcliff Slocumb for Derek Lowe and Jason Varitek, it is still very good.

A couple of more deals like this and I may actually learn to love this team like it was 2004.

Posted by Ed Walsh at 09:57 AM

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Comments

Holy Smokes Ed!!! Some say the Sox are giving up too much for Beckett and Lowell? I'd say those people saying that are INSANE. This is a firesale being held by the Marlins because they need to cut payroll. They will never get anywhere near the talent in return and they aren't even trying to. They want to DUMP salary and that is why you need to take the hefty contract of Lowell.

You are giving up 2 unproved prospects for a proven big league pitcher. Any Sox fan that scoffs at this deal needs to have their head examined. It is 1 sided and will benefit the Sox for years to come if they can ink him long term. Will the prospects pan out?? maybe, but do the Sox organization want to invest the time and see what pans out or do they want to take the proven commidity. The choice is crystal clear.

To ask and throw Delgado in is asking for a bit much don't you think?

Posted by chris
November 23, 2005 12:50 PM

Oh I wasn't asking to "throw" Delgado in the mix. I just know that te Sox have a hole at first, the Marlins are dumping salary and we can afford to take on a Delgado if we are moving Manny out of town.

By the way... the only reason that the Sox spend as much as they do is because of a certain team in their division spends lots more so the Sox feel like they have to keep up (somewhat) and one particularly huge salary that the current ownership would like to rid themselves of (Ramirez). If you remove 20 million a year from the payroll. the Yankees and Sox are no longer close.


Posted by Ed Walsh
November 23, 2005 01:50 PM

If the Sox dump Manny I highly doubt that they will get rrid of the entire 20 mil. They will have to eat some of that salary. look at the A Rod deal. The richest franchise in sports took A Rod and got him for $16 mil a year while the Rangers are picking up the rest of that salary.

I think the Sox will also have to eat a portion of this to the tune of 6 to 7 million a year or teams won't take Manny. Besodes, there are only a few teams that could afford him LA, NYY and the Mets. If neither of those 3 teams get in the mix then the Sox will have to eat even more of Mannys salary to move him.

NOw lets take a look at the additions. You will be bringing a fat contract in Lowell, and you will have to pony up some fat bucks to sign Beckett long term. Those 2 combined with what the Sox will have to pay on mannys contract will actually increase the team salary.

I also agree that he Sox spend as much as they do to keep up with the Jonses. BUt the Sox wouldn't spend as much as they do if they still were not making money. Both teams make a gross amount of money, and I am thankful that I cheer for a team whose owner is not afraid to reinvest that money into the ball club.

If not for the Yankees, the Sox wouldn't bve as good as they are, because they wouldn't spend as much either. So I think you owe a thank you to George Steinbrenner.

Posted by chris
November 26, 2005 09:10 AM

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